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Nov 7, 2012
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nevada as well. very, very close. the republican incumbent, dean heller is slightly ahead of the democrat, shelley berkley. and this is a surprise, jon tester and denny rehberg were very, very close. >> call. house races as well. >> some very well known names. these are really squeakers. allen west was very well known. 50% to 50% for the democratic challenger. a little more than 2,000 votes separating them with 99% reporting. probably the most well known name when it comes to the tea party, michele bachmann is now neck in neck. fewer than 2,000 votes ahead of her democratic challenger. so this is pretty remarkable. >> with 85% reporting. so we want to talk with some tea party-backed congressmen who lost. and one was in illinois. joe walsh who was on television a lot. he lost to tammy duckworth, the democrat. and dan in new york. he won back his seat and he beat the candidate who beat him last time around. we are seeing some defeats of the tea party wave that we saw two years ago. >> appreciate it. thank you etch. >> l
nevada as well. very, very close. the republican incumbent, dean heller is slightly ahead of the democrat, shelley berkley. and this is a surprise, jon tester and denny rehberg were very, very close. >> call. house races as well. >> some very well known names. these are really squeakers. allen west was very well known. 50% to 50% for the democratic challenger. a little more than 2,000 votes separating them with 99% reporting. probably the most well known name when it comes to the...
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Nov 7, 2012
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45% for mitt romney in nevada. those are the exit poll results. remember, these are estimates that reflect the votes of the people we interviewed in select polling places and early voters by the way, we interviewed by phone. they may not necessarily reflect the actual outcome in a particular state, once we get the final vote tally. let's go to john king right now. we're watching all of the states. this is the national vote right now. what we're seeing, 50% to 48%. national vote is nice. what's important are the battleground. >> 270 is the vote that really counts. may be a debate tomorrow, one candidate wins the popular vote and somebody else wins the electoral college. this is the state we're watching most closely. pivotal. 29 electoral votes, almost impossible to show you a scenario, to get to mitt romney to 270 without florida. 89% of the vote counted. 40,000 votes, shy of that, separating two candidates. the question? what's out? what's out? one rural county up here. governor romney will win this county, but tin
45% for mitt romney in nevada. those are the exit poll results. remember, these are estimates that reflect the votes of the people we interviewed in select polling places and early voters by the way, we interviewed by phone. they may not necessarily reflect the actual outcome in a particular state, once we get the final vote tally. let's go to john king right now. we're watching all of the states. this is the national vote right now. what we're seeing, 50% to 48%. national vote is nice. what's...
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Nov 11, 2012
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. >> they got shelly in nevada. >> that's unfortunate. >> they did not get what they thought they were be buying of. >> the biggest loser is carl rove -- karl rove. he would let them keep even more, a fairly bottom line decision. a lot of money was spent. ben bernanke was the second stimulus. the supreme court acted as the second stimulus, second only to the fed, because opening the door to that kind of private spending, the supreme court certainly did a lot for the economy. i look at their bottom line, it will be a disappointment. >> indiana and missouri are too easy, so i will go to minnesota. he ran the races with the chinese american actress on super bowl night. cake walk for stabenow. >> i would say joe biden. i think he's going to have a tough four years. i'll just leave it at that. on our side, i'd say that -- not continuing to learn. there was a lot of false security we had in our turn out operation. we stalled. i'd say that is a big loser. >> this has been a stimulating panel. we have a second panel that will start immediately. for those of you are c-span, www.laszlostrategies
. >> they got shelly in nevada. >> that's unfortunate. >> they did not get what they thought they were be buying of. >> the biggest loser is carl rove -- karl rove. he would let them keep even more, a fairly bottom line decision. a lot of money was spent. ben bernanke was the second stimulus. the supreme court acted as the second stimulus, second only to the fed, because opening the door to that kind of private spending, the supreme court certainly did a lot for the...
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Nov 7, 2012
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the whole time you have snow up in the sierra nevada. definitely a, you know, kind of a wild weather patternen considering how warm it's been. friday forecast looks like this. you have showers developing on thursday. certainly cooler and as you head toward the weekend, the sun comes out. but it's still kind of cool. >>> we're just 15 minutes away from more election day coverage. polls are about to close in florida and new hampshire. >> we are results from virginia. mitt romney in the lead with 1% reporting. 59% of the vote for romney. 41% for president obama. this is a crucial state and whoever wins this, it will be a key indicators in how this evening is going to go. more election coverage coming up after the break. meningococcal meningitis, a rare but serious disease. health officials recommend vaccination. go to voicesofmeningitis.org. >>> some dogs and cats waiting for adoption in the east bay are trading up when it comes to their temporary homes. we went inside the new state of the art animal shelter and why it took so long to build
the whole time you have snow up in the sierra nevada. definitely a, you know, kind of a wild weather patternen considering how warm it's been. friday forecast looks like this. you have showers developing on thursday. certainly cooler and as you head toward the weekend, the sun comes out. but it's still kind of cool. >>> we're just 15 minutes away from more election day coverage. polls are about to close in florida and new hampshire. >> we are results from virginia. mitt romney in...
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Nov 7, 2012
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democrats have said we have enough seats in play, and when we get out west, california, washington, nevada, something good could happen for them. but it's going to be hard for the democrats to take over the house. >> brown: there a particul one or two you want to keep your eye on especially tonight? >> a lot of the demographic data we're looking atic democratshave area where's they can gain, perhaps later on down the line, arizona, texas, as sturks mentioned, florida is another one, wherehe democrats are look at making long-lastinge gains. they're making new seats. california is another one we will be atching. what is the bigger picture when it comes to the type of members ofat ngress?s? are these peopl extreme on one part or the other? the way the lines are drawn that can happen. if you draw a district with metreme democrat or republican, you can end up with extremestr n congress. >> woodruff: mark, you were telling me you were off the set talking to somebody, picking up some information about howthe vote is coming in. >> the turnout right now that what tino voters are voting at the level
democrats have said we have enough seats in play, and when we get out west, california, washington, nevada, something good could happen for them. but it's going to be hard for the democrats to take over the house. >> brown: there a particul one or two you want to keep your eye on especially tonight? >> a lot of the demographic data we're looking atic democratshave area where's they can gain, perhaps later on down the line, arizona, texas, as sturks mentioned, florida is another one,...
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Nov 7, 2012
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maybe snow in hamilton and maybe snow on diablo and certainlily low snow levels in sierra nevada. dropping down to 3000 feet. this is unusual to be this warm fast. forecast highs, you see 70s, 73 in fairfield and 73 in walnut creek. >>> in the past 20 minutes, polls closed in two swing states, florida and new hampshire. more election results are coming into the ktvu newsroom, we will have the latest. >> the polls have closed in ohio, probably the most closely watched, no republican has ever won the presidency without taking ohio. here are the current numbers with one percent of the precincts reporting. president obama up 58 to 42% over mitt romney. >> now in the midst of the evening commute and people heading to the polls after work. let's go to john sacka. you are watching the activity at a precinct, right? >> reporter: yes, the traffic here has definitely picked up in the last hour as people have gotten off of work and come down to vote. you can see everybody around here. we are at the salvation army in clayton. there are three different voting precincts in operation. people hav
maybe snow in hamilton and maybe snow on diablo and certainlily low snow levels in sierra nevada. dropping down to 3000 feet. this is unusual to be this warm fast. forecast highs, you see 70s, 73 in fairfield and 73 in walnut creek. >>> in the past 20 minutes, polls closed in two swing states, florida and new hampshire. more election results are coming into the ktvu newsroom, we will have the latest. >> the polls have closed in ohio, probably the most closely watched, no...
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Nov 27, 2012
11/12
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does he think nevada to send senator heller to the senate shouldn't be heard? does he believe on the day he finds himself in the minority once again that he should no longer be heard? does he think democrats will remain in the majority from now until the end of time? for the past several years many of us on the republicans' side of great loud objections to the diminished rights of the minority to participate in the legislative process around here. democratic leaders have tried in more ways than one to silence those they disagree with. they have blocked members including our committee chairman from expressing themselves that committee through unprecedented use of senate rules 14 which allows them to bypass committees altogether and they blocked members from expressing themselves on the floor through unprecedented use of filling the amendment tree which prevents the senate from considering amendments the majority leader doesn't like. no amendments in committee, no amendments on the floor. the majority leader made this clear to john mccain in a remarkable moment o
does he think nevada to send senator heller to the senate shouldn't be heard? does he believe on the day he finds himself in the minority once again that he should no longer be heard? does he think democrats will remain in the majority from now until the end of time? for the past several years many of us on the republicans' side of great loud objections to the diminished rights of the minority to participate in the legislative process around here. democratic leaders have tried in more ways than...
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Nov 10, 2012
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another democrat was elected in nevada. the first time there is an african-american serving in congress from nevada. in district 3 in ohio, the second black woman in congress from ohio. in texas, district 33, and now texas has four black house members from texas. there are a couple of races that have not been called yet. one in arizona in the ninth district. there is a black republican candidate named vernon parker, who is running only a couple of thousand votes behind his opponent. all of the ballots have not been tallied and it is a possibility this person, he is behind by 2000 points but there's a possibility this person could be elected i do have to mention alan west. alan west right now is about 2300 votes behind his opponent. he is running in a different district and he ran in s. as you can tell by the results from florida, president obama's campaign made a big effort to turn out their voters, and i don't think president obama's voters were in fact going to vote for alan west while they were at the polls. alan west ma
another democrat was elected in nevada. the first time there is an african-american serving in congress from nevada. in district 3 in ohio, the second black woman in congress from ohio. in texas, district 33, and now texas has four black house members from texas. there are a couple of races that have not been called yet. one in arizona in the ninth district. there is a black republican candidate named vernon parker, who is running only a couple of thousand votes behind his opponent. all of the...
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nevada and then heidi heightcamp, former state official in north dakota who's in a very close race. so that could end up being a sizable amount of women coming to the senate. >> two interesting house races. gwen, i'm not sure which house race you're talking about. betty sutton was beaten, renacy narrowly beats sutton. but two rather controversial-- i guess that's the right word too use-- republican members of the houses are in incredibly tight races right now. allen west in florida is trailing narrowly by about a thousand votes with just a couple percent not yet counted and michele bachmann is up by a margin like that, just a bare narrow lead in a very tight race in minnesota. so we're keeping an eye on that and if both of them were not in the house, i wonder whether that would change the tone of the entire body. i'm not sure. >> and bachmann's seat was redrawn to make it slightly more safe for republicans in redistricting. so that's interesting. we were surprised when we were looking at that, particularly given how much money and effort the republicans put into minnesota at the las
nevada and then heidi heightcamp, former state official in north dakota who's in a very close race. so that could end up being a sizable amount of women coming to the senate. >> two interesting house races. gwen, i'm not sure which house race you're talking about. betty sutton was beaten, renacy narrowly beats sutton. but two rather controversial-- i guess that's the right word too use-- republican members of the houses are in incredibly tight races right now. allen west in florida is...
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bush did so well in, colorado, iowas, your nevadas new mexico. romney did didn't play out there. >> to give you a sense of the magnitude, 8% of the hispanics in 2008 and 10% this year and romney's share went from, republican share went to 27 from 31. >> and the romney campaign thought they needed 37% of that hispanic vote for the numbers to win and they got 27%, the arithmetic on the latino vote is just brutal and obvious, they have to do something about that. >> paul: quickly? >> i want today make one more point about the type of campaign at that romney ran. focused on the economy and wanted to make the obama economy, but he woke up wednesday morning and probably saw an exit poll figure that had him devastated for people, 50% of the electorate still thought this economy was george w. bush's fault. it's astonishing. >> it's astonishing. >> and one of the failures, not making a distinction in the campaign, the theme explanation why he would be different than george w. bush. when we come back, the soul searching begins as republicans face another f
bush did so well in, colorado, iowas, your nevadas new mexico. romney did didn't play out there. >> to give you a sense of the magnitude, 8% of the hispanics in 2008 and 10% this year and romney's share went from, republican share went to 27 from 31. >> and the romney campaign thought they needed 37% of that hispanic vote for the numbers to win and they got 27%, the arithmetic on the latino vote is just brutal and obvious, they have to do something about that. >> paul:...
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Nov 4, 2012
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some would argue that michigan and nevada should have been leaning obama. we have a very close election. it will be decided on election night with a bunch of potential surprises. >>chris: you have a white board? karl: on the 3rd of november in 2008, president obama was at or above 50 percent in seven of the 13 battleground states that year. in the same states this year, same day, president obama is at 50 percent, not above 50 percent but 50 percent in two, wisconsin and nevada, and wisconsin, he is only at 50 percent because there is one poll that has an eight-point lead. we have gone from cruising to victory in 2008 to a tight, tight, tight race in 2012. >>chris: a last question, what do you make of romney going to pennsylvania and what do you make of obama with last minute ad buys in florida and virginia. who is serious? who is bluffing in. >> they are all serious. president obama has difficulty in florida and virginia, where the clear politics average goes to romney and pennsylvania is in play. if president obama was comfortable with pennsylvania he what
some would argue that michigan and nevada should have been leaning obama. we have a very close election. it will be decided on election night with a bunch of potential surprises. >>chris: you have a white board? karl: on the 3rd of november in 2008, president obama was at or above 50 percent in seven of the 13 battleground states that year. in the same states this year, same day, president obama is at 50 percent, not above 50 percent but 50 percent in two, wisconsin and nevada, and...
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Nov 5, 2012
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we hope to get on john raulson out of nevada. this is interesting for many reasons, and i wanted to talk specific alally about nevada wh the foreclosures are high and unemployment rate is high. latinos in that state could help president obama win it in a significant way. let's see what we see in regarding the white vote and in a key state like nevada the latino vote being the difference. >> if everybody recalls the election of 2010, when reid was running against sharon inkeningle, all the polls showed engel was ahead by significant margins. what happened was at the end of the day when you looked at the scorecard, latinos went in favor to harry reid 9-10. that was because sharon engel's campaign was so egregious when it came to the latino votes. pollsters feel that la tyne notices won't turn out, and a lot of working class latinos are cell phones. this is the dreary part of polling. you often miss a big swath of potential when it comes to voting to the new voter, which is not only latinos but women and youth. what we're going to s
we hope to get on john raulson out of nevada. this is interesting for many reasons, and i wanted to talk specific alally about nevada wh the foreclosures are high and unemployment rate is high. latinos in that state could help president obama win it in a significant way. let's see what we see in regarding the white vote and in a key state like nevada the latino vote being the difference. >> if everybody recalls the election of 2010, when reid was running against sharon inkeningle, all the...
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Nov 3, 2012
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what i heard democrats talk about if they can hold ohio, hold wisconsin, paul ryan's home state, hold nevada, they could lose all other swing states, lose the congressional district in maine and come out with exactly 270 electoral votes. gwen: you add it up that way, john? >> that sounds very powerful. what i am struck by is there hasn't been any mystery about this. if you go further than a year ago, president obama's team was very straightforward. they expected it was going to be mitt romney. they were going to make him very unacceptable. the wealthy and out of touch background. they did that. they had a micro targeted micromessage strategy. they said what they were going to do. and stuck to that strategy seems to be with remarkable discipline. if it works, they look really, really smart. the difference between being really smart and really dumb -- [laughter] >> what's remarkable is that they broadcast that, right? >> and the romney campaign never -- or his allies never came up to say, boy, if they're going to do this we should probably define mitt romney. we better define him positively be
what i heard democrats talk about if they can hold ohio, hold wisconsin, paul ryan's home state, hold nevada, they could lose all other swing states, lose the congressional district in maine and come out with exactly 270 electoral votes. gwen: you add it up that way, john? >> that sounds very powerful. what i am struck by is there hasn't been any mystery about this. if you go further than a year ago, president obama's team was very straightforward. they expected it was going to be mitt...
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Nov 7, 2012
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iowa and nevada are too early to call. in florida at least an hour wait in line at already closed polls still lies ahead for some voters. democrats picking up three additional seats. republicans are projected to retain control. >> let's get to john harwood with a look at where we stand in the map room. >> we're still awaiting the seven swing states. florida and the state of virginia are both extremely close races. if president obama wins the state of florida, the race is over. but mitt romney is very, very much in that game. he needs to win florida, north carolina, and virginia and also win the state of ohio to get from where he is now, he's on track now to win 191 electoral votes. president obama is in line for 251. we're going to have to wait until more votes are counted before we know who gets there. >> >> your thoughts of where we stand and what this means for the economy. >> what you have is, of course, what we do know is that the republicans will hold on to the house of representatives. that the ve increase in the nu
iowa and nevada are too early to call. in florida at least an hour wait in line at already closed polls still lies ahead for some voters. democrats picking up three additional seats. republicans are projected to retain control. >> let's get to john harwood with a look at where we stand in the map room. >> we're still awaiting the seven swing states. florida and the state of virginia are both extremely close races. if president obama wins the state of florida, the race is over. but...
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Nov 5, 2012
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>> looking at nevada, we talked about the third district and the fourth district, which was drawn and assumed democrats would win it. the republican is in the game. he lost in the senate primary in 2010. that is that type of district democrat should be winning in need to win in order to do well. overall on election night i will be watching the seats that republicans better republicans favored or even been republican. that is how far down our competitive races. democrats have to start winning and defeating republican members in order to get close to the majority. for not winning those heavily- republican seats, they will not have enough. look at the balance of power and where the president is strong and where mitt romney is strong. >> the most impact is seen with the presidential race i think has already happened. i know in talking to democrats that are watching the races, the first debate was fundamentally important, not just because it shifted the presidential race, but because it was a time when house candidates registered to go on television tried to prove moderate credentials. the
>> looking at nevada, we talked about the third district and the fourth district, which was drawn and assumed democrats would win it. the republican is in the game. he lost in the senate primary in 2010. that is that type of district democrat should be winning in need to win in order to do well. overall on election night i will be watching the seats that republicans better republicans favored or even been republican. that is how far down our competitive races. democrats have to start...
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the polls will be closing at 10:00 o'clock in nevada and montana, 10:00 o'clock eastern time, nevada is the home of leader harry reid, and dean heller in nevada as well. an appointed person to the sea, trying to hold onto that seat there from a strong challenge by congresswoman shelley berkley. that deal the one thank you very much. just about 30 seconds away from the next state closing. iowa, nevada, utah. lou: it looks like a night in which
the polls will be closing at 10:00 o'clock in nevada and montana, 10:00 o'clock eastern time, nevada is the home of leader harry reid, and dean heller in nevada as well. an appointed person to the sea, trying to hold onto that seat there from a strong challenge by congresswoman shelley berkley. that deal the one thank you very much. just about 30 seconds away from the next state closing. iowa, nevada, utah. lou: it looks like a night in which
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the rnc says it has learned of numerous cases in nevada. in a letter to electn officials rnc is asking nevada and five other states to recalibrate all machines. they have additional technicians. they are asking for that and to use signs and verbal reminders to make sure the ballots are correct. nevada secretary of state meantime says there is no evidence of this and calls the accusations irresponsible. >> we are learning new details about the new york city nanny accused of killing two little children in her care. according to the new york post y jocelyn or at theing ga telling cops was enraged as the the family asked they are to do housework to learn more money. she was unhappy about doing five extra hours each week. she woke up from a medically induced coma later this week she gave the statement. >> they turned away to helping the hurricane devastated state of new jersey because they are not union? workers from three companies say that their help was turned down by new jersey crews since they are not union employees. they are now going to
the rnc says it has learned of numerous cases in nevada. in a letter to electn officials rnc is asking nevada and five other states to recalibrate all machines. they have additional technicians. they are asking for that and to use signs and verbal reminders to make sure the ballots are correct. nevada secretary of state meantime says there is no evidence of this and calls the accusations irresponsible. >> we are learning new details about the new york city nanny accused of killing two...
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Nov 6, 2012
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you're in nevada. >> reporter: the mood and message differ from four years ago. hope and change now translate to stay the course, and finishing what the president started. volunteers say the work is harder this time. >> we have to do our homework and we have to know what the facts are, and to be able to share that with other people. >> tomorrow is election day. your vote is critical. >> reporter: volunteers used a different strategy. they focused on fellow republicans, reminding them to get out and vote tomorrow. >> as you call them, what's going to show up is the polling place number. >> reporter: they say they've also made calls to battleground states such as florida, ohio, and virginia. their target? republicans who don't always vote. >> it just reinforces them that somebody is out there trying to do something. that agree with the same things that they agree with. >> we have volunteers going out to the polling places. >> reporter: talking to voters about polling places tomorrow, statewide initiatives and local races. she says there is excitement that republica
you're in nevada. >> reporter: the mood and message differ from four years ago. hope and change now translate to stay the course, and finishing what the president started. volunteers say the work is harder this time. >> we have to do our homework and we have to know what the facts are, and to be able to share that with other people. >> tomorrow is election day. your vote is critical. >> reporter: volunteers used a different strategy. they focused on fellow republicans,...
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look at states like nevada. the white vote smaller, why? latino vote, nearly 20% of the vote in the state of nevada. the president gets 71%. can't win. you can't win. the on other side can't win. in colorado, much more of a white vote. 78%. and latinos, 14%. and the president getting 75%. let me shift walls, one more minute of your time. i want to show you this. nevada used to be a swing state in presidential politics, colorado used to be republican, and florida a swing state in presidential politics, if democrats keep getting 66%, 70% of the latino vote, watch this. the darker the area, the higher the latino population, so in navy, colorado, and new mexico, it's almost game over. in florida, still waiting for the final results. latino vote critical to the president's lead. and if the republicans don't solve this, we might be talking about texas as a blue state, anderson. >> wow. amazing to look at the maps like that. john, appreciate that. given that, how does the republican party evolve? what is next for them? someone on the extreme right
look at states like nevada. the white vote smaller, why? latino vote, nearly 20% of the vote in the state of nevada. the president gets 71%. can't win. you can't win. the on other side can't win. in colorado, much more of a white vote. 78%. and latinos, 14%. and the president getting 75%. let me shift walls, one more minute of your time. i want to show you this. nevada used to be a swing state in presidential politics, colorado used to be republican, and florida a swing state in presidential...
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this is not colorado or nevada or mexico. nonetheless, hispanics in virginia, as in many of the other states, to be very heavily democratic. and so, to the extent they turn out, even if they are only 4% of the statewide votes in any given year, they can assist democrats. let me mention asian americans, because they have become increasingly important in virginia, even though they are a small percentage of the population and the registered population. in northern virginia in particular, they have become exceptionally active. they give a lot of money to candidates. they are predominantly democratic, although slices of the asian-american population, such as vietnamese americans, will support republicans. it goes to show that in a diverse population, virginia has become tremendously diverse. when i was growing up, the white turnout on election day was about 85% of the total. as i mentioned, it's low 70's today. that makes a giant difference. you can tell it in the election results. even a small slice of the population can have a b
this is not colorado or nevada or mexico. nonetheless, hispanics in virginia, as in many of the other states, to be very heavily democratic. and so, to the extent they turn out, even if they are only 4% of the statewide votes in any given year, they can assist democrats. let me mention asian americans, because they have become increasingly important in virginia, even though they are a small percentage of the population and the registered population. in northern virginia in particular, they have...
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Nov 6, 2012
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florida, virginia, wisconsin, colorado, iowa, new hampshire and nevada. joining me here in ohio is john avlon. he has been traveling the state aboard the cnn election express bus. i'm also joined by john king in washington, d.c. the electoral college map, how does it add up right now? >> when you talk to the two campaigns, it's as if even though it's one country, they live in parallel universes. both saying they will win tomorrow. the president is ahead in most of the key battleground states. they are down confidence in the obama campaign and don't get too much dispute out of the romney campaign that they will win the state of nevada. then they come to the midwest where you are. they are most confident in the midwest they will carry again. i know republicans watching are saying they'll prove you wrong. they're confident about the state of iowa. that would get the president to 259. takes 270 win. when you ask them about these battleground states, they say they're most confidence about ohio, where you are. the president took that game over. no republicans w
florida, virginia, wisconsin, colorado, iowa, new hampshire and nevada. joining me here in ohio is john avlon. he has been traveling the state aboard the cnn election express bus. i'm also joined by john king in washington, d.c. the electoral college map, how does it add up right now? >> when you talk to the two campaigns, it's as if even though it's one country, they live in parallel universes. both saying they will win tomorrow. the president is ahead in most of the key battleground...
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in would argue that mash -- michigan and nevada should be leaning obama before last week. we have a very close election. and it is going to be decided on election night with -- with a bunch of potential surprises. >> chris: you have a white board. >> think about this. on the third of november, 2008, president obamma was at or above 50% in 7 of the 13 states that year. in those same state this is year, on same date, 4 years later, he is 50%, not above, but 50% in just two, wisconsin and nev dismef and wisconsin, he is only at 50% because there is 1 pole, an outliwer an 8-point lead. we have gone from cruise into victory in 2008, to a tight, tight, tight race in 2012. >> chris: lanlast question. what do you make of romney going to pennsylvania today? what do you make of obama with last-minute ad buys in florida and virginia? who's got in wind at the back? who is serious? hois bluffing? >> they are all serious and they are not bluffing. president obama has difficulty in florida and virginia two, states where the real clear politics average goes to romney. and pennsylvania has
in would argue that mash -- michigan and nevada should be leaning obama before last week. we have a very close election. and it is going to be decided on election night with -- with a bunch of potential surprises. >> chris: you have a white board. >> think about this. on the third of november, 2008, president obamma was at or above 50% in 7 of the 13 states that year. in those same state this is year, on same date, 4 years later, he is 50%, not above, but 50% in just two, wisconsin...
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nevada the ground game, harry reid's political machine, i think obama is going to win, nevada. >> greta: you are from wisconsin, john, and you were just there. >> i was. everywhere you go you meet people who voted for obama the last time and are going to vote for mitt romney this time around. you have a lot of people switching sides over there. the scott walker recall energized republicans and brought independents into the republican party who liked what scott walker was doing. there are couple of problems facing mitt romney. one is that the recall electorate that gave scott walker a 7 point margin of victory supported obama. there is still a problem there of 500,000 voters who came out in 2008 who didn't come out out in the recall. people think those are obama voters and if they come out that could spell bad news. >> greta: bart star now endorsed governor romney and in wisconsin he is a big deal. does is it have any impact? >> he is a big deal. but president obama had charles woodson the other day. if aaron rodgers had been there on the ground probably a 20 point holdout for mitt romne
nevada the ground game, harry reid's political machine, i think obama is going to win, nevada. >> greta: you are from wisconsin, john, and you were just there. >> i was. everywhere you go you meet people who voted for obama the last time and are going to vote for mitt romney this time around. you have a lot of people switching sides over there. the scott walker recall energized republicans and brought independents into the republican party who liked what scott walker was doing....
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particularly in states like ohio, florida, ohio -- >> dana: nevada. >> andrea: same thing, nevada. ohio fewer dems voted in ohio compared to 2008. 30,000 more republicans have voted. if obama had that lead with mccain and long at 2008, but only led by three points with likely voters romney leads the likely voters by five points. he won bison overall. if you look at the same panorama, it's all over. >> bob: in reality, you talk about the final vote in 2008 versus a week left to go to vote. people who vote early. you have to separate absenteeism from early voting. two separate things. people who vote early are senior citizens and they normally do. >> andrea: who leads with senior citizens? mitt romney leads. >> bob: right. >> andrea: independent and women. 3-point turnout advantage this time around swayed ten points to -- >> bob: you are taking something on election day when they did the count and doing seven things out. >> andrea: same exact date. 'canes is a political roundup, can we get to eric? >> eric: obama campaign, my opinion is in shambles. look what david axelrod had to do
particularly in states like ohio, florida, ohio -- >> dana: nevada. >> andrea: same thing, nevada. ohio fewer dems voted in ohio compared to 2008. 30,000 more republicans have voted. if obama had that lead with mccain and long at 2008, but only led by three points with likely voters romney leads the likely voters by five points. he won bison overall. if you look at the same panorama, it's all over. >> bob: in reality, you talk about the final vote in 2008 versus a week left to...
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in the southwest, california, nevada, arizona, to the northwest, we sneak in one nice day today with dry weather. and then tomorrow, it looks like that next front will be swinging on through, get a little windy and also a little wet for your friday, primarily in the morning. >> very nice. all right. they need the rain. >> we'll take it. >> they need the rain, right? >>> all right, now to sports. we start with two nba overtime games. first atlanta's kyle korver hit a long three-pointer with less than 2 seconds on the clock to lead the hawks over washington 101-100. >>> and the thunder's russell westbrook hit a fading jumper, there he goes, off the clippers, and oklahoma city beat los angeles 117-111. >>> in college basketball, fourth-ranked michigan made a second half comeback at the nit semifinals. the wolverines beat pittsburgh. to advance to the championship game. >>> and then, the moment you've all been waiting for. i know bill has. he's sitting here champing at the bit. >> trying to figure out how to spend time with my family, too, at the same time. >> oh, you'll be fine. they're
in the southwest, california, nevada, arizona, to the northwest, we sneak in one nice day today with dry weather. and then tomorrow, it looks like that next front will be swinging on through, get a little windy and also a little wet for your friday, primarily in the morning. >> very nice. all right. they need the rain. >> we'll take it. >> they need the rain, right? >>> all right, now to sports. we start with two nba overtime games. first atlanta's kyle korver hit a...
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i will give you nevada as your best of the battleground states. what's your worst? what are you most worried about? >> well, you know, john, somebody was quoted yesterday as saying that's like choosing between our children. >> so choose. >> we are tied or -- i'm not going to do that. we're tied or ahead in every single battleground state. certainly some of them are tighter than others. north carolina is extremely tight. but we're pleased with where we are going into election day. we have advantage on the early vote. we've done significant work with voter registration in that state. we're close in florida. again, significant advantage on early vote. and done a lot of work on voter registration. >> can i run that through the universal political translator and say you're most worried about north carolina and florida? >> those are your words. >> let me bring in david gergen. he's also got a question. >> stephanie, good to see you. tell us what three things we should be looking for tomorrow night as a sense of which way it's going. what are you going to be looking for? >
i will give you nevada as your best of the battleground states. what's your worst? what are you most worried about? >> well, you know, john, somebody was quoted yesterday as saying that's like choosing between our children. >> so choose. >> we are tied or -- i'm not going to do that. we're tied or ahead in every single battleground state. certainly some of them are tighter than others. north carolina is extremely tight. but we're pleased with where we are going into election...
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nevada, all the polls have the president lead bug it is close. same thing in wisconsin. president is ahead in all the polls except rasmussen, who has the race tied at 49. florida, all the policy out this week has obama leading romney, but very close. and in the commonwealth, up 5 points but cbs has the president up by two. north carolina, rasmussen has romney up by 6 and survey usa has the governor leading by 5. new hampshire, new england college has obama up by 6 over mitt romney. last week rasmussen had romney up by 2. and nbc has the president up by 6 points. got all that? joining us now from boston, david. he directs polling. >> he want to run it down from your point of view. you have canvassed the whole country, know what's going on. ohio, how do you see it? >> i see it really close. if you look at the last four polls, it's one point. 1 through 8 the poll was average four to five points. what we look at is the head-to-head number. the last three consecutive polls, excluding the two you mentioned were at 48. that's a sign of vulnerability. obviously you have seven ca
nevada, all the polls have the president lead bug it is close. same thing in wisconsin. president is ahead in all the polls except rasmussen, who has the race tied at 49. florida, all the policy out this week has obama leading romney, but very close. and in the commonwealth, up 5 points but cbs has the president up by two. north carolina, rasmussen has romney up by 6 and survey usa has the governor leading by 5. new hampshire, new england college has obama up by 6 over mitt romney. last week...
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you're in nevada. >> reporter: the mood and message differ from four years ago. hope and change now translate to stay the course, and finishing what the president started. volunteers say the work is harder this time. >> we have to do our homework and we have to know what the facts are, and to be able to share that with other people. >> tomorrow is election day. your vote is critical. >> reporter: volunteers used a different strategy. they focused on fellow republicans, reminding them to get out and vote tomorrow. >> as you call them, what's going to show up is the polling place number. >> reporter: they say they've also made calls to battleground states such as florida, ohio, and virginia. their target? republicans who don't always vote. >> it just reinforces them that somebody is out there trying to do something. that agree with the same things that they agree with. >> we have volunteers going out to the polling places. >> reporter: talking to voters about polling places tomorrow, statewide initiatives and local races. she says there is excitement that republica
you're in nevada. >> reporter: the mood and message differ from four years ago. hope and change now translate to stay the course, and finishing what the president started. volunteers say the work is harder this time. >> we have to do our homework and we have to know what the facts are, and to be able to share that with other people. >> tomorrow is election day. your vote is critical. >> reporter: volunteers used a different strategy. they focused on fellow republicans,...
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if i give him nevada, iowa and wisconsin, 259/206. what does governor romney have to do? he must win the state of florida. tonight the democrats say we think we're still in play. give them truth sear rum, which ones are you likely to lose, they put florida on the list. the obama operation says watch us turn out the vote tomorrow. let's assume it stays with its normal republican dna, we'll keep it there. virginia is a must win for governor romney. we are wired on the ground, we can do it, the key will be the northern virginia suburbs. for the sake of argument, i know democrats are getting mad at me, i'm going to give it to governor romney. if we do that, this could be a decisive state. for the sake of argument, the obama campaign says we have this state. watch what happens tomorrow, especially in evangelical areas. i'm going to this hypothetical to show you how close this would be. it would leave us only ohio and new hampshire. you only get 4 in new hampshire, 18 in ohio. under any scenario, i could switch a few of these in plausible ways. under any scenario, this becomes
if i give him nevada, iowa and wisconsin, 259/206. what does governor romney have to do? he must win the state of florida. tonight the democrats say we think we're still in play. give them truth sear rum, which ones are you likely to lose, they put florida on the list. the obama operation says watch us turn out the vote tomorrow. let's assume it stays with its normal republican dna, we'll keep it there. virginia is a must win for governor romney. we are wired on the ground, we can do it, the...
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republican lance gilman, the newly elected county commissioner of nevada's story county happens to be the owner of mustang ranch. that's right, the infamous brothel out there. nevada, just to clear things up, is the only state with legalized prostitution, and gilman just became the first such owner to make his way to winning an election of public office. according to the county commissioner-elect himself, people want to focus on the brothel issue. i have had a wonderful 43 year record of business success that i bring to the commission. it is kind of a hard issue to ignore. gilman, by the way, calls himself a dyed in the wool republican who loves american values. >>> finally, last week steve schmidt said on "meet the press" that a lot of swing voters think of the republican party as one of loons and wackos. this is a republican talking. mike murphy, another republican strategist, just weighed in on "meet the press." here he is. >> this is an existential crisis for the republican party, and we have to have a brutal discussion about it. we alienate young voters because of gay marriage, w
republican lance gilman, the newly elected county commissioner of nevada's story county happens to be the owner of mustang ranch. that's right, the infamous brothel out there. nevada, just to clear things up, is the only state with legalized prostitution, and gilman just became the first such owner to make his way to winning an election of public office. according to the county commissioner-elect himself, people want to focus on the brothel issue. i have had a wonderful 43 year record of...
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i know it takes iowa and nevada. here it is. there it is. >> iowa, nevada have to get in there and we've got five more somewhere else. it's the swap of colorado. is it that? well. >> where do you have new hampshire? i can't see from here? >> we'll have to figure it out. it was off. this is what happens when we're missing it. the math is there. >> we'll take a break, we know it's there, the math is there. 269/269s. >> that's a nightmare. >> some say we'll be spending a lot of good times. >> here it is. that's what we're missing here. new hampshire over to there. >> new hampshire. >> and then we have it. >> thank you so much, chuck. >> bye now. >> chuck and the magic map. up next, mayor antonio villaraigosa in florida today, and house majority leader eric cantor from virginia, live from democracy plaza only here on msnbc. [ female announcer ] the humana walmart-preferred rx plan p-d-p gives you a low national plan premium... so you can focus on what really matters. call humana at 1-800-808-4003. colin powell: yes. when he took ove
i know it takes iowa and nevada. here it is. there it is. >> iowa, nevada have to get in there and we've got five more somewhere else. it's the swap of colorado. is it that? well. >> where do you have new hampshire? i can't see from here? >> we'll have to figure it out. it was off. this is what happens when we're missing it. the math is there. >> we'll take a break, we know it's there, the math is there. 269/269s. >> that's a nightmare. >> some say we'll be...